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World arabica prices fall to a three-month low

The 25 September coffee news round-up reports a sharp drop in arabica prices to a three-month low, while the ICO has opened a free data platform on world coffee prices, trade and stocks.

Why shops should care: Softer bean costs may give small shops a better moment to negotiate prices or plan forward orders.

Quest: try this week

Call 2–3 roasters or suppliers for bean prices, compare with what you pay now, and negotiate your Q4 order.

Budget
฿0
Time
1–2 hours

First seen 25 Sept 2026 (1 week ago) · updated 30 Sept 2026 · 2 sources

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In detail: weekly mentions, why this level, and every source

Mentions per week

Last 12 weeks, counted from the dates of the sources

−100%

Last 7 days vs the 7 days before

Each bar counts the sources that mention this signal, by the week they were published.
Mentions per week
Week starting 17 Jul0
Week starting 24 Jul0
Week starting 31 Jul0
Week starting 7 Aug0
Week starting 14 Aug0
Week starting 21 Aug0
Week starting 28 Aug0
Week starting 4 Sept0
Week starting 11 Sept0
Week starting 18 Sept0
Week starting 25 Sept2
Week starting 2 Oct0

Level history

  1. 28 Sept 2026Early signal
  2. 5 Oct 2026Early signal

Why this level

Early signalFewer than 3 sources so far, so it is "Early signal"

  • 2 sources of 1 type (News)
  • Mentions in the last 7 days fell 100% vs the 7 days before
  • Mentioned for less than a week so far
  • Last mentioned 7 days ago

Next level: 1 more source saying the same would make it "Emerging"

Levels are recalculated every morning from the number and types of sources, with fixed rules. AI does not decide them.

Possible factors

Context from statistics we track, not confirmed causes

  • World commodity prices

    World arabica was $7.97/kg (Aug 2026), a baseline for the latest drop.

  • Exchange rates

    The baht at 33.56 per dollar may affect what shops actually pay for imported beans.

All sources (2)

  1. ICO Puts Global Coffee Market Data in One Interactive Place(opens in a new tab)

    Daily Coffee News · News · 30 Sept 2026

  2. Coffee News Recap, 25 Sep: Arabica prices drop sharply to three-month low, Greggs continues to overtake Costa as UK’s biggest coffee chain & other stories(opens in a new tab)

    Perfect Daily Grind · News · 25 Sept 2026

We keep only headlines and links. Open a link to read the full original.

Use this signal in your work

Formal reports (PDF) and PowerPoint slides with sources are part of the Gold plan.

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